Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the odds of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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